Assessing the Federal Reserve’s Measures of Capacity and Utilization

The Federal Reserve measures of capacity and utilization are evaluated. High measured capacity utilization in manufacturing or in specific industries does not signal a constraint on future growth. Moreover, high measured capacity utilization does not correlate with increases in output prices relative to the wage rate. Consequently, high measured capacity utilization does not imply that… Continue reading Assessing the Federal Reserve’s Measures of Capacity and Utilization

The Reliability of Historical Macroeconomic Data for Comparing Cyclical Stability

Political vs. Currency Premia in International Real Interest Rate Differentials: Comments

News or Noise: An Analysis of GNP Revisions